Measuring the impact of natural disasters on capital markets: An empirical application using intervention analysis
Worthington, Andrew C. & Valadkhani, Abbas (2004) Measuring the impact of natural disasters on capital markets: An empirical application using intervention analysis. Applied Economics, 36(19), pp. 2177-2186.
This paper examines the impact of natural disasters on the Australian equity market. The data set employed consists of daily price and accumulation returns over the period 31 December 1982 to 1 January 2002 for the All Ordinaries Index (AOI) and a record of forty-two severe storms, floods, cyclones, earthquakes and bushfires (wildfires) during this period with an insured loss in excess of AUD5 mil. and/or total loss in excess of AUD100 mil. Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are used to model the returns and the inclusion of news arrival in the form of the natural disasters is specified using intervention analysis. The results indicate bushfires, cyclones and earthquakes have a major effect on market returns, unlike severe storms and floods. The net effects can be positive and/or negative with most effects being felt on the day of the event and with some adjustment in the days that follow.
Citation countsare sourced monthly fromand citation databases.
These databases contain citations from different subsets of available publications and different time periods and thus the citation count from each is usually different. Some works are not in either database and no count is displayed. Scopus includes citations from articles published in 1996 onwards, and Web of Science® generally from 1980 onwards.
Citations counts from theindexing service can be viewed at the linked Google Scholar™ search.
Full-text downloadsdisplays the total number of times this work’s files (e.g., a PDF) have been downloaded from QUT ePrints as well as the number of downloads in the previous 365 days. The count includes downloads for all files if a work has more than one.
Repository Staff Only: item control page