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Market, interest rate and foreign exchange rate risk in Australian banking: A GARCH-M approach

Ryan, Suzanne K. & Worthington, Andrew C. (2004) Market, interest rate and foreign exchange rate risk in Australian banking: A GARCH-M approach. International Journal of Applied Business and Economic Research, 2(2), pp. 81-103.

Abstract

This study employs an extended version of the Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Mean (GARCH-M) model to consider the time-series sensitivity of Australian bank stock returns to market, interest rate and foreign exchange rate risks. Daily Australian bank portfolio returns, a market wide accumulation index, short, medium and long-term interest rates, and a trade-weighted foreign exchange index are used to model these risks over the period 1996 to 2001. The results suggest that market risk is an important determinant of bank stock returns, along with short and medium term interest rate levels and their volatility. However, long-term interest rates and the foreign exchange rate do not appear to be significant factors in the Australian bank return generating process over the period considered.

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ID Code: 2327
Item Type: Journal Article
Additional URLs:
Keywords: Bank stock returns, GARCH, market risk, interest rate risk, foreign exchange risk
ISSN: : 0972-7302
Subjects: Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > ECONOMICS (140000)
Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > ECONOMICS (140000) > ECONOMETRICS (140300) > Econometric and Statistical Methods (140302)
Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > COMMERCE MANAGEMENT TOURISM AND SERVICES (150000) > BANKING FINANCE AND INVESTMENT (150200) > Financial Institutions (incl. Banking) (150203)
Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > COMMERCE MANAGEMENT TOURISM AND SERVICES (150000) > BANKING FINANCE AND INVESTMENT (150200) > Financial Econometrics (150202)
Divisions: Current > QUT Faculties and Divisions > QUT Business School
Copyright Owner: Copyright 2004 Scientific Publishers
Deposited On: 31 Oct 2005
Last Modified: 05 Jan 2011 23:25

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