Prediction of highway truck conveyance configuration under over-limit prohibition and conveyance equilibrium

He, Jie, Hang, Wen, Li, Xuhong , & Mao, Haijun (2007) Prediction of highway truck conveyance configuration under over-limit prohibition and conveyance equilibrium. In Proceedings of the First International Conference of Transportation Engineering (ICTE) 2007, July 22-24, 2007, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China.

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Aiming at the shortage of prevailing prediction methods about highway truck conveyance configuration in over-limit freight research that transferring the goods attributed to over-limit portion to another fully loaded truck of the same configuration and developing the truck traffic volume synchronously, a new way to get accumulated probability function of truck power tonnage in basal year by highway truck classified by wheel and axle type load mass spectrum investigation was presented. Logit models were used to forecast overall highway freight diversion and single cargo tonnage diversion when the weight rules and strict of enforcement intensity of overload were changed in scheme year. Assumption that the probability distribution of single truck loadage should be consistent with the probability distribution of single goods freighted, the model describes the truck conveyance configuration in the future under strict over-limit prohibition. The model was used and tested in Highway Over-limit Research Project in Anhui by World Bank.

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ID Code: 27716
Item Type: Conference Paper
Refereed: Yes
DOI: 10.1061/40932(246)104
ISBN: 978-0-7844-0932-9
Subjects: Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > ENGINEERING (090000) > CIVIL ENGINEERING (090500) > Transport Engineering (090507)
Divisions: Current > Research Centres > Centre for Accident Research & Road Safety - Qld (CARRS-Q)
Copyright Owner: Copyright 2007 American Society of Civil Engineers
Deposited On: 02 Oct 2009 01:43
Last Modified: 10 Aug 2011 15:54

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