Development priority zoning (DPZ)-led scenario simulation for regional land use change : the case of Suichang County, China

Wu, Yuzhe, Peng, Yi, Zhang, Xiaoling, Skitmore, Martin, & Song, Yan (2012) Development priority zoning (DPZ)-led scenario simulation for regional land use change : the case of Suichang County, China. Habitat International, 36(2), pp. 268-277.

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China has experienced an extraordinary level of economic development since the 1990s, following excessive competition between different regions. This has resulted in many resource and environmental problems. Land resources, for example, are either abused or wasted in many regions. The strategy of development priority zoning (DPZ), proposed by the Chinese National 11th Five-Year Plan, provides an opportunity to solve these problems by coordinating regional development and protection. In line with the rational utilization of land, it is proposed that the DPZ strategy should be integrated with regional land use policy.

As there has been little research to date on this issue, this paper introduces a system dynamic (SD) model for assessing land use change in China led by the DPZ strategy. Land use is characterized by the prioritization of land development, land utilization, land harness and land protection (D-U-H-P). By using the Delphi method, a corresponding suitable prioritization of D-U-H-P for the four types of DPZ, including optimized development zones (ODZ), key development zones (KDZ), restricted development zones (RDZ), and forbidden development zones (FDZ) are identified. Suichang County is used as a case study in which to conduct the simulation of land use change under the RDZ strategy.

The findings enable a conceptualization to be made of DPZ-led land use change and the identification of further implications for land use planning generally. The SD model also provides a potential tool for local government to combine DPZ strategy at the national level with land use planning at the local level.

Impact and interest:

12 citations in Scopus
9 citations in Web of Science®
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ID Code: 49690
Item Type: Journal Article
Refereed: Yes
Keywords: Development priority zoning (DPZ), Regional land use change, Prioritization of D-U-H-P, System dynamics (SD), construction optimization, Scenario simulation
DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2011.10.011
ISSN: 0197-3975
Subjects: Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > BUILT ENVIRONMENT AND DESIGN (120000) > URBAN AND REGIONAL PLANNING (120500) > Land Use and Environmental Planning (120504)
Divisions: Current > Schools > School of Civil Engineering & Built Environment
Current > QUT Faculties and Divisions > Science & Engineering Faculty
Copyright Owner: Copyright 2011 Elsevier Ltd.
Copyright Statement: This is the author’s version of a work that was accepted for publication in <Habitat International>. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. A definitive version was subsequently published in Habitat International, [VOL 36, ISSUE2 , (2012)] DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2011.10.011
Deposited On: 15 Apr 2012 22:28
Last Modified: 16 Apr 2012 06:34

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