Leadership change, policy issues and voter defection in the 2010 Australian election

McAllister, Ian, Bean, Clive S., & Pietsch, Juliet (2012) Leadership change, policy issues and voter defection in the 2010 Australian election. Australian Journal of Political Science, 47(2), pp. 189-209.

View at publisher


Leadership change formed the backdrop to the 2010 Australian federal election, with the replacement of Kevin Rudd as prime minister by Julia Gillard, the country’s first female prime minister. This article uses the 2010 Australian Election Study, a post-election survey of voters, to examine patterns of voter defection between the 2007 and 2010 elections. The results show that the predominant influence on defection was how voters rated the leaders. Julia Gillard was particularly popular among female voters and her overall impact on the vote was slightly greater than that of Tony Abbott. Policy issues were second in importance after leadership, particularly for those moving from the Coalition to Labor, who were concerned about health and unemployment. Labor defectors to the Greens particularly disliked Labor’s education policies. Overall, the results point to the enduring importance of leaders as the predominant influence on how voters cast their ballot.

Impact and interest:

4 citations in Scopus
Search Google Scholar™
3 citations in Web of Science®

Citation counts are sourced monthly from Scopus and Web of Science® citation databases.

These databases contain citations from different subsets of available publications and different time periods and thus the citation count from each is usually different. Some works are not in either database and no count is displayed. Scopus includes citations from articles published in 1996 onwards, and Web of Science® generally from 1980 onwards.

Citations counts from the Google Scholar™ indexing service can be viewed at the linked Google Scholar™ search.

Full-text downloads:

231 since deposited on 21 Feb 2013
64 in the past twelve months

Full-text downloads displays the total number of times this work’s files (e.g., a PDF) have been downloaded from QUT ePrints as well as the number of downloads in the previous 365 days. The count includes downloads for all files if a work has more than one.

ID Code: 57443
Item Type: Journal Article
Refereed: Yes
DOI: 10.1080/10361146.2012.677002
ISSN: 1036-1146
Subjects: Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > STUDIES IN HUMAN SOCIETY (160000) > POLITICAL SCIENCE (160600) > Australian Government and Politics (160601)
Divisions: Current > QUT Faculties and Divisions > Creative Industries Faculty
Current > Schools > School of Media, Entertainment & Creative Arts
Copyright Owner: Copyright 2012 Taylor & Francis
Copyright Statement: This is a preprint of an article submitted for consideration in the Australian Journal of Political Science © 2012 [copyright Taylor & Francis]; Australian Journal of Political Science is available online at: www.tandfonline.com
Deposited On: 21 Feb 2013 23:26
Last Modified: 06 Jan 2014 01:16

Export: EndNote | Dublin Core | BibTeX

Repository Staff Only: item control page