Leadership change, policy issues and voter defection in the 2010 Australian election
McAllister, Ian, Bean, Clive S., & Pietsch, Juliet (2012) Leadership change, policy issues and voter defection in the 2010 Australian election. Australian Journal of Political Science, 47(2), pp. 189-209.
Leadership change formed the backdrop to the 2010 Australian federal election, with the replacement of Kevin Rudd as prime minister by Julia Gillard, the country’s first female prime minister. This article uses the 2010 Australian Election Study, a post-election survey of voters, to examine patterns of voter defection between the 2007 and 2010 elections. The results show that the predominant influence on defection was how voters rated the leaders. Julia Gillard was particularly popular among female voters and her overall impact on the vote was slightly greater than that of Tony Abbott. Policy issues were second in importance after leadership, particularly for those moving from the Coalition to Labor, who were concerned about health and unemployment. Labor defectors to the Greens particularly disliked Labor’s education policies. Overall, the results point to the enduring importance of leaders as the predominant influence on how voters cast their ballot.
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|Item Type:||Journal Article|
|Subjects:||Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > STUDIES IN HUMAN SOCIETY (160000) > POLITICAL SCIENCE (160600) > Australian Government and Politics (160601)|
|Divisions:||Current > QUT Faculties and Divisions > Creative Industries Faculty
Current > Schools > School of Media, Entertainment & Creative Arts
|Copyright Owner:||Copyright 2012 Taylor & Francis|
|Copyright Statement:||This is a preprint of an article submitted for consideration in the Australian Journal of Political Science © 2012 [copyright Taylor & Francis]; Australian Journal of Political Science is available online at: www.tandfonline.com|
|Deposited On:||21 Feb 2013 23:26|
|Last Modified:||06 Jan 2014 01:16|
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