Firm Size Expectations of Nascent Entrepreneurs
Delmar, Frederic, Davidsson, Per, & Aronsson, Magnus (1999) Firm Size Expectations of Nascent Entrepreneurs. In Reynolds, P. (Ed.) Frontiers of Entrepreneurship Research 1999. Babson College, Wellesley, M.A., pp. 90-104.
The purpose of this paper was to examine the factors affecting the future firm size expectations of nascent entrepreneurs. This was done by testing a decision model on a unique data set composed of a random sample of nascent entrepreneurs. The proposed model is based on four different components that were tested together as well as separately in order to assess their unique and combined effect on size expectations. The four components were: initial human capital, personal/business goals, environmental and business context, and gestation activities. The dependent variables used in this paper reflect the growth trajectories that newly founded firms can take. While it turned out difficult to predict start size, the suggested model could satisfactorily predict expected early growth. The results indicate that those nascent entrepreneurs expecting high growth also expected larger start-size. Their goal was to make the future business their main income source. This was to be achieved by an expansion strategy or by a harvesting strategy.
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