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Estimating the Size of the Australian Heroin Market: A New Method

Jiggens, John L. (2006) Estimating the Size of the Australian Heroin Market: A New Method. In Social Change in the 21st Century Conference 2006, 27 October 2006, QUT Carseldine, Brisbane.

Abstract

Measuring the success of drug law enforcement by the quantity of drugs seized can be deceptive, simply because the amount seized may increase because the size of the drug market has also increased, rather than because of any increased success of drug law enforcement. Consequently, the best method of assessing the success of drug law enforcement is to determine the percentage of the market seized. The application of this method of analyzing heroin seizures in the years before the heroin shortage in Australia in 2001 reveals that drug law enforcement was an unlikely cause of the 2001 heroin shortage. The most likely explanation for the heroin shortage was a severe disjunction between the rapidly growing demand for heroin in Australia coupled with the significant decline in heroin production in Southeast Asia due to the drought in Burma and a general move away from heroin production towards methamphetamine production.

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ID Code: 6896
Item Type: Conference Paper
Keywords: Australian heroin market, 2001 heroin shortage, methamphetamine plague
ISBN: 1741071291
Subjects: Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > STUDIES IN HUMAN SOCIETY (160000) > SOCIOLOGY (160800) > Social Change (160805)
Divisions: Current > Research Centres > Centre for Social Change Research
Past > QUT Faculties & Divisions > QUT Carseldine - Humanities & Human Services
Copyright Owner: Copyright 2006 John L. Jiggens
Deposited On: 10 Apr 2007
Last Modified: 09 Jun 2010 22:39

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