The efficacy of unemployment rate and leading index as predictors of speed and alcohol related crashes in Australia
Tay, Richard S. (2003) The efficacy of unemployment rate and leading index as predictors of speed and alcohol related crashes in Australia. International Journal of Transport Economics, 30(3), pp. 363-375.
While the influence of economic factors have been accounted for in recent evaluations of the effectiveness of road safety countermeasures and public policies, little attention has been focussed on the relative merits of different economic indicators in predicting different types of crashes. This study provides some conceptual and empirical support for the use of unemployment rate for predicting alcohol-related crashes and the moving average of the leading index for predicting speed-related crashes in Australia.
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