Traffic incident clearance time and arrival time prediction based on hazard models

Ji, Yang beibei, Jiang, Rui, Qu, Ming, & Chung, Edward (2014) Traffic incident clearance time and arrival time prediction based on hazard models. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 2014.

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Abstract

Accurate prediction of incident duration is not only important information of Traffic Incident Management System, but also an ffective input for travel time prediction. In this paper, the hazard based prediction odels are developed for both incident clearance time and arrival time. The data are obtained from the Queensland Department of Transport and Main Roads’ STREAMS Incident Management System (SIMS) for one year ending in November 2010. The best fitting distributions are drawn for both clearance and arrival time for 3 types of incident: crash, stationary vehicle, and hazard.

The results show that Gamma, Log-logistic, and Weibull are the best fit for crash, stationary vehicle, and hazard incident, respectively. The obvious impact factors are given for crash clearance time and arrival time. The quantitative influences for crash and hazard incident are presented for both clearance and arrival. The model accuracy is analyzed at the end.

Impact and interest:

1 citations in Scopus
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1 citations in Web of Science®

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ID Code: 71698
Item Type: Journal Article
Refereed: Yes
Keywords: Traffic Incident , Hazard Models, Traffic Incident Management System
DOI: 10.1155/2014/508039
ISSN: 1563-5147
Subjects: Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > ENGINEERING (090000) > CIVIL ENGINEERING (090500) > Transport Engineering (090507)
Divisions: Current > Schools > School of Civil Engineering & Built Environment
Current > QUT Faculties and Divisions > Science & Engineering Faculty
Current > Research Centres > Smart Transport Research Centre
Copyright Owner: Copyright 2014 please consult author(s).
Copyright Statement: This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Deposited On: 15 May 2014 23:43
Last Modified: 19 May 2014 00:37

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