Exploring the effect of political risks in large infrastructure projects in politically unstable countries using a probabilistic modelling approach

Khan, Saad Ullah (2014) Exploring the effect of political risks in large infrastructure projects in politically unstable countries using a probabilistic modelling approach. Masters by Research thesis, Queensland University of Technology.

Abstract

This research aims to explore and identify political risks on a large infrastructure project in an exaggerated environment to ascertain whether sufficient objective information can be gathered by project managers to utilise risk modelling techniques. During the study, the author proposes a new definition of political risk; performs a detailed project study of the Neelum Jhelum Hydroelectric Project in Pakistan; implements a probabilistic model using the principle of decomposition and Bayes probabilistic theorem and answers the question: was it possible for project managers to obtain all the relevant objective data to implement a probabilistic model?

Impact and interest:

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ID Code: 79325
Item Type: QUT Thesis (Masters by Research)
Supervisor: Mian, Daniyal & Kajewski, Stephen
Keywords: Political Risk, Infrastructure Projects, Probabilistic Modelling, Hydro-Electric Power Plant, Risk Management, Politically Unstable Countries, Risk Impact, Case Study, Asset Management, Risk Mitigation
Divisions: Current > Schools > School of Civil Engineering & Built Environment
Current > QUT Faculties and Divisions > Science & Engineering Faculty
Institution: Queensland University of Technology
Deposited On: 27 Jan 2015 04:48
Last Modified: 08 Sep 2015 06:47

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