Adoption dynamics of increasing-return technologies in systemic contexts

Mäkinen, Saku J., Kanniainen, Juho, & Dedehayir, Ozgur (2013) Adoption dynamics of increasing-return technologies in systemic contexts. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80(6), pp. 1140-1146.

View at publisher


Many systemic, complex technologies have been suggested to exhibit increasing returns to adoption, whereby the initial increase in adoption leads to increasing experience with the technology, which drives technological improvements and use, subsequently leading to further adoption. In addition, in the systemic context, mimetic behavior may lend support to increasing returns as technology adoption is witnessed among other agents in the systemic context. Finally, inter-dependencies in the systemic context also sensitize the adoption behavior to fundamental changes in technology provisioning, and this may lend support for the increasing returns type of dynamics in adoption. Our empirical study examines the dynamics of organizational technology adoption when technology is provisioned by organizations in another sub-system in a systemic context. We hypothesize that innovation, imitation, and technological change effects are present in creating increasing returns in the systemic context. Our empirical setting considers 24 technologies represented by 2282 data points in the computer industry. Our results provide support for our prediction that imitation effects are present in creating increasing returns to adoption. We further discuss the managerial and research implications of our results.

Impact and interest:

1 citations in Scopus
Search Google Scholar™
1 citations in Web of Science®

Citation counts are sourced monthly from Scopus and Web of Science® citation databases.

These databases contain citations from different subsets of available publications and different time periods and thus the citation count from each is usually different. Some works are not in either database and no count is displayed. Scopus includes citations from articles published in 1996 onwards, and Web of Science® generally from 1980 onwards.

Citations counts from the Google Scholar™ indexing service can be viewed at the linked Google Scholar™ search.

ID Code: 85636
Item Type: Journal Article
Refereed: Yes
Additional URLs:
Keywords: Technology Diffusion, Adoption Dynamics, Technology Systems, Increasing Returns
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.04.004
ISSN: 0040-1625
Subjects: Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > COMMERCE MANAGEMENT TOURISM AND SERVICES (150000) > BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT (150300) > Innovation and Technology Management (150307)
Divisions: Current > QUT Faculties and Divisions > QUT Business School
Current > Schools > School of Management
Copyright Owner: Copyright 2012 Elsevier
Deposited On: 16 Jul 2015 23:06
Last Modified: 20 Jul 2015 00:56

Export: EndNote | Dublin Core | BibTeX

Repository Staff Only: item control page