Impact of temperature on mortality in three major Chinese cities

Zhang, Jing, Li, Tian Tian, Tan, Jian Guo, Huang, Cun Rui, & Kan, Haidong (2014) Impact of temperature on mortality in three major Chinese cities. Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 27(7), pp. 485-494.

View at publisher


To study the relation between temperature and mortality by estimating the temperature-related mortality in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou.


Data of daily mortality, weather and air pollution in the three cities were collected. A distributed lag nonlinear model was established and used in analyzing the effects of temperature on mortality. Current and future net temperature-related mortality was estimated.


The association between temperature and mortality was J-shaped, with an increased death risk of both hot and cold temperature in these cities. The effects of cold temperature on health lasted longer than those of hot temperature. The projected temperature-related mortality increased with the decreased cold-related mortality. The mortality was higher in Guangzhou than in Beijing and Shanghai.


The impact of temperature on health varies in the 3 cities of China, which may have implications for climate policy making in China.

Impact and interest:

1 citations in Scopus
Search Google Scholar™
2 citations in Web of Science®

Citation counts are sourced monthly from Scopus and Web of Science® citation databases.

These databases contain citations from different subsets of available publications and different time periods and thus the citation count from each is usually different. Some works are not in either database and no count is displayed. Scopus includes citations from articles published in 1996 onwards, and Web of Science® generally from 1980 onwards.

Citations counts from the Google Scholar™ indexing service can be viewed at the linked Google Scholar™ search.

ID Code: 88753
Item Type: Journal Article
Refereed: Yes
Keywords: Climate change, Temperature, Mortality, Time - series
DOI: 10.3967/bes2014.080
ISSN: 0895-3988
Divisions: Current > Research Centres > Centre for Health Research
Current > QUT Faculties and Divisions > Faculty of Health
Copyright Owner: Copyright ©2014 by China CDC
Deposited On: 21 Oct 2015 03:58
Last Modified: 21 Oct 2015 03:58

Export: EndNote | Dublin Core | BibTeX

Repository Staff Only: item control page