Anticipating Chinese Tourists Arrivals in Australia: A Time Series Analysis

Ma, Emily, Liu, Yulin, Li, Jinghua, & Chen, Su (2016) Anticipating Chinese Tourists Arrivals in Australia: A Time Series Analysis. Tourism Management Perspectives, 17, pp. 50-58.

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Abstract

Given the growing importance of the Chinese tourist market to Australia, an understanding of Chinese tourists' arrival patterns is essential to accurate forecasting of future arrivals. Drawing on 25 years of records (1991-2015), this study developed a time-series model of monthly arrivals of Chinese tourists in Australia. The model reflects the exponentially increasing trend and strong seasonality of arrivals. Excellent results from validation of the model's forecasts endorsed this time-series model's potential in the policy prescription and management practice of Australian tourism industries.

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ID Code: 91456
Item Type: Journal Article
Refereed: Yes
Keywords: Chinese travelers, Tourist arrival, Forecasting, Time-series model, Australia
DOI: 10.1016/j.tmp.2015.12.004
ISSN: 2211-9736
Subjects: Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > ECONOMICS (140000) > APPLIED ECONOMICS (140200)
Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > ECONOMICS (140000) > APPLIED ECONOMICS (140200) > Tourism Economics (140216)
Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > COMMERCE MANAGEMENT TOURISM AND SERVICES (150000) > TOURISM (150600) > Tourism Forecasting (150602)
Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > COMMERCE MANAGEMENT TOURISM AND SERVICES (150000) > TOURISM (150600) > Tourism Management (150603)
Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > STUDIES IN HUMAN SOCIETY (160000) > POLICY AND ADMINISTRATION (160500) > Tourism Policy (160513)
Divisions: Past > QUT Faculties & Divisions > Faculty of Science and Technology
Current > Schools > School of Mathematical Sciences
Copyright Owner: Copyright © 2015 Elsevier B.V.
Deposited On: 23 Dec 2015 01:54
Last Modified: 06 Feb 2016 20:06

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