Changes in CO2 emissions over business cycle recessions and expansions in the United States: A decomposition analysis

Shahiduzzaman, Muhammad & Layton, Allan (2015) Changes in CO2 emissions over business cycle recessions and expansions in the United States: A decomposition analysis. Applied Energy, 150, pp. 25-35.

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Abstract

This paper examines the asymmetry of changes in CO2 emissions over business cycle recessions and expansions using yearly data from 1949 and monthly data from 1973 for the United States (US). In addition, decomposition analysis is applied to investigate the relative roles of various proximate contributing factors to observed changes in total and per capita CO2 emissions and emissions intensity, over business cycle phases. The results suggest, inter alia, that aggregate emissions and emissions intensity reduce much faster in contractions than they increase in expansions. In addition, unlike the three previous expansions, in the most recent post-GFC US expansion, emissions per capita have continued to decline, and at a rate very similar to the rate of reduction in preceding contractions. This suggests the real possibility that the most recent contraction may have had an ongoing impact on the path of per capita emissions well beyond the immediate impact experienced during the contraction itself.

Impact and interest:

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14 citations in Web of Science®

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ID Code: 93105
Item Type: Journal Article
Refereed: Yes
Keywords: Business cycle, CO2 emissions, Decomposition analysis
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.04.007
ISSN: 0306-2619
Subjects: Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > ENGINEERING (090000)
Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification > ECONOMICS (140000)
Divisions: Current > QUT Faculties and Divisions > QUT Business School
Current > Schools > School of Management
Copyright Owner: Copyright 2017 Applied Energy
Copyright Statement: Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution; Non-Commercial; No-Derivatives 4.0 International. DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.04.007
Deposited On: 22 Feb 2016 01:07
Last Modified: 22 Feb 2016 22:00

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