Detection of spatial variations in temporal trends with a quadratic function

Moraga, Paula & Kulldorff, Martin (2016) Detection of spatial variations in temporal trends with a quadratic function. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 25(4), pp. 1422-1437.

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Methods for the assessment of spatial variations in temporal trends (SVTT) are important tools for disease surveillance, which can help governments to formulate programs to prevent diseases, and measure the progress, impact, and efficacy of preventive efforts already in operation. The linear SVTT method is designed to detect areas with unusual different disease linear trends. In some situations, however, its estimation trend procedure can lead to wrong conclusions. In this article, the quadratic SVTT method is proposed as alternative of the linear SVTT method. The quadratic method provides better estimates of the real trends, and increases the power of detection in situations where the linear SVTT method fails. A performance comparison between the linear and quadratic methods is provided to help illustrate their respective properties. The quadratic method is applied to detect unusual different cervical cancer trends in white women in the United States, over the period 1969 to 1995.

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ID Code: 95683
Item Type: Journal Article
Refereed: Yes
DOI: 10.1177/0962280213485312
ISSN: 1477-0334
Divisions: Current > Research Centres > ARC Centre of Excellence for Mathematical & Statistical Frontiers (ACEMS)
Current > Schools > School of Mathematical Sciences
Current > QUT Faculties and Divisions > Science & Engineering Faculty
Deposited On: 22 May 2016 22:27
Last Modified: 02 Sep 2016 01:00

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