Estimating the Size of the Australian Heroin Market: A New Method
(2006) Estimating the Size of the Australian Heroin Market: A New Method. In Proceedings Social Change in the 21st Century Conference 2006, QUT Carseldine, Brisbane.
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Abstract
Measuring the success of drug law enforcement by the quantity of drugs seized can be deceptive, simply because the amount seized may increase because the size of the drug market has also increased, rather than because of any increased success of drug law enforcement. Consequently, the best method of assessing the success of drug law enforcement is to determine the percentage of the market seized. The application of this method of analyzing heroin seizures in the years before the heroin shortage in Australia in 2001 reveals that drug law enforcement was an unlikely cause of the 2001 heroin shortage. The most likely explanation for the heroin shortage was a severe disjunction between the rapidly growing demand for heroin in Australia coupled with the significant decline in heroin production in Southeast Asia due to the drought in Burma and a general move away from heroin production towards methamphetamine production.
| Item Type: | Conference Paper |
|---|---|
| Status: | Published |
| Keywords: | Australian heroin market; 2001 heroin shortage; methamphetamine plague. |
| Subjects: | 370000 Studies in Human Society > 370100 Sociology > 370107 Social Change |
| ID Code: | 6896 |
| Deposited By: | Willans, Bernadette |
| Deposited On: | 10 April 2007 |
| Copyright Owner: | Copyright 2006 John L. Jiggens |