Advancing volatility prediction: Exploring directional forecasts, measures of volatility, and asset allocation strategies

Xie, Xiaodu (2024) Advancing volatility prediction: Exploring directional forecasts, measures of volatility, and asset allocation strategies. PhD thesis, Queensland University of Technology.

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Description

This thesis addresses the challenge of forecasting financial asset volatility, a crucial factor in asset pricing and risk management. It applies a mix of conventional and novel statistical methods to improve volatility predictions. It encompasses the accuracy of directional forecasts, the reliability of realized volatility measures, the efficacy of various asset allocation strategies based on volatility timing, and the effectiveness of range-based models in low-frequency scenarios. The findings of this thesis hold practical relevance for market practitioners, and provide insightful solutions for asset pricing and risk management.

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74 since deposited on 26 Feb 2024
74 in the past twelve months

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ID Code: 246410
Item Type: QUT Thesis (PhD)
Supervisor: Clements, Adam & Thiele, Stephen
Keywords: HAR, Realised volatility, Volatility directions, Investment portfolio, Volatility timing, Realised weights, Volatility, Financial econometrics, Machine learning, Forecasting
DOI: 10.5204/thesis.eprints.246410
Pure ID: 157748702
Divisions: Current > QUT Faculties and Divisions > Faculty of Business & Law
Current > Schools > School of Economics & Finance
Institution: Queensland University of Technology
Deposited On: 26 Feb 2024 06:15
Last Modified: 26 Feb 2024 06:15